Kiwi slips as US eyes interest rate rises
Posted on 01/24/19 6:22 PM
The New Zealand dollar weakened on the suggestion US interest rates may rise sooner than previously expected, boosting demand for the greenback.
The kiwi slipped to US84.88 cents at 8am on Tuesday from US85.13c at 5pm on Monday.
The trade-weighted index dropped to 79.19 from 79.36.
The US dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, rose after St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank president James Bullard said if the US economy continues to improve at its current pace, sentiment will likely move to an earlier rate hike.
Mr Bullard, speaking to reporters following a speech to the Tennessee Bankers Association, said he currently forecasts the first rate hike to come in the first quarter of 2015 but he may bring that expectation forward as he prepares his June contribution for the Fed. He is not a voter on the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee this year.
The kiwi weakened because of “the Bullard comments which are talking about higher US rates sooner rather than later,” said Tim Kelleher, head of institutional FX sales New Zealand for ASB Bank.
“The central bank may raise rates sooner than many now think is what he said, which is US dollar positive.”
In New Zealand on Tuesday, economists will be eyeing the quarterly manufacturing sales data scheduled for release at 10:45am as they prepare their forecasts for first quarter GDP.
In Australia, the focus will be on the latest NAB business confidence survey due at 1:30pm (NZT). Australia also has reports on job advertisements and home loans.
Traders will also be watching for Chinese data on inflation and the producers price index as they gauge the strength of New Zealand’s largest trading partner. Overnight, the People’s Bank of China said it would reduce the amount of cash reserves that must be held by banks that mainly lend to small business and rural borrowers.
On Tuesday morning, the New Zealand dollar fell to 90.64 Australian cents from 91.02 cents on Monday.
The kiwi was little changed at 62.42 euro cents from 62.40 cents and edged lower to 50.51 British pence from 50.65p. It slipped to 86.98 yen from 87.29 yen.